Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Tropical Depression Matmo Update #11 (FINAL)

Issued (13 UTC) 9am PhT 072414
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Tropical Depression Matmo is now rapidly weakening as it moves across Eastern China. The system was last located approximately 230km northwest of Fuzhou or about 480km southwest of Shanghai. Maximum sustained winds are at 55kph with gusts of up to 75kph. TD Matmo is moving north northwestward at 25kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows Matmo decaying rapidly now as it continues to interact with land. The circulation is still intact but convective banding is suffering and is no longer well-developed. Despite this, however, some areas are still reporting gusty winds of up to 100kph. We should see continued weakening through the day, with total dissipation expected by tomorrow.

Radar Image from CWB


Latest satellite image shows widespread rains affecting the provinces of Fujian, Jiangxi, Zhejiang, and Anhui. Many areas are already reporting well over 200mm of rainfall and we could still up to 100mm fall through the next 24 hours. Flooding and landslides are still possible in this region as we head into the latter part of this week.

For the latest Radar Images and Weather Warnings from China, please click HERE (CMA Website).

Meanwhile, a plane crash in Taiwan is attributed to foul weather caused by Matmo as it moved across yesterday. So far, authorities estimate at least 40 people are killed because of the crash.

Tropical Depression Matmo will continue weakening today and should completely dissipate my tomorrow. Rains will continue across Eastern China and could also affect Shanghai by tomorrow. This will be the final update for Matmo.

Tropical Storm Matmo Update #10 (LANDFALL)

Issued (1030 UTC) 630pm PhT 072314
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Matmo (Formerly Bagyong Henry) has made its second and final landfall in Fujian Province in Southeastern China. It has also weakened to a Tropical Storm as it interacts with land. The system was last located approximately 40km south of Fuzhou or about 230km west northwest of Taipei. Maximum sustained winds are at 100kph with gusts of up to 130kph. TS Matmo is moving northwestward at 15kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows Matmo moving inland into Southeastern China. The storm is still looking symmetrical with convective bands surrounding the circulation center. Strong winds continue to be present near the center, as well. Some coastal areas along Fujian have reported seeing gusts of up to 150kph.

Winds in Taiwan are now subsiding but they will still experience light to moderate rains, especially along the western coast. Many areas here, especially Hualien County received 300 to 500mm of rain over the past 48 hours which caused landslides and flooding in many areas.

Radar Image from CMA

 
As Matmo move ashore in Fujian, widespread light to moderate rains are now affecting the area including nearby provinces of Zhejiang and Jiangxi. We expect 200 to as much as 500mm of rainfall in many places in Eastern China over the next few days and this heavy rainfall event can cause flooding and landslides, as we've seen in Taiwan.

For the latest warnings and forecasts from China, please click HERE (CMA Website)

Tropical Storm Matmo will continue moving inland tonight bringing rains and strong winds in the region. It should also rapidly weaken as it interacts with land. Rains will linger across Eastern China for the next 2 to 3 days.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

Tuesday, July 22, 2014

Typhoon Matmo (Henry) Update #9

Issued (01 UTC) 9am PhT 072314
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Typhoon Matmo (Bagyong Henry) is now moving into Taiwan Strait after making landfall in Taiwan last night. The system was last located approximately 150km southwest of Taipei, Taiwan or about 200km southeast of Fuzhou, China. Maximum sustained winds have weakened to 120kph with gusts of up to 150kph. Typhoon Matmo is moving northwestward at 20kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY


Latest satellite image shows the core of Matmo now moving into Taiwan Strait. Matmo made landfall in Taitung County just before midnight last night as a Category 2 Typhoon. It crossed the mountainous regions of Taiwan which significantly disrupted the circulation, leading to the weakening this morning.

Radar Image from CWB


Latest radar image out of Taiwan shows that there are still bands of moderate to heavy rains affecting the region. Up to 500mm of rainfall has already been recorded in some areas, especially in Hualien County. Numerous landslides and flooding events have already been reported and we will likely see more reports later today. We're expecting anywhere from 100 to as much as 300mm to fall throughout the next 12 hours.

For the latest radar images and warnings from Taiwan, please click HERE (CWB Website)

Typhoon Matmo is forecast to make landfall in Fujian Province later this afternoon and will move near the city of Fuzhou. Typhoon-force winds of up to 150kph are still possible along with the threat of storm surge along the coast. Heavy rains will also be affecting the provinces of Fujian, Zhejiang, and Jiangxi later today. Eastern China might see up to 300mm of rain over the next 24 hours.

We'll have another update later this afternoon.

Typhoon Matmo (Henry) Update #8 (w/ Video)

Issued (11 UTC) 7pm PhT 072214
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Please watch our Video Update below for the latest in-depth analysis and forecast for Typhoon Matmo.

 
Typhoon Matmo (Bagyong Henry) has slightly intensified as it moves ever closer to Taiwan. The system was last located approximately 230km north northeast of Basco, Batanes or about 300km south southeast of Taipei, Taiwan. Maximum sustained winds are at 155kph with gusts of up to 195kph making Matmo a Category 2 Typhoon on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. Matmo is currently moving north northwestward at 25kph.

PAGASA has issued Signal #2 for Batanes Group of Islands and Signal #1 for Calayan and Babuyan Islands. Meanwhile, Central Weather Bureau in Taiwan has issued a Sea and Land Typhoon Warning for the entire region. Extremely Heavy Rain Advisories have also been issued across the counties in Taiwan. Please heed the warnings of your local officials and stay safe!

Radar Image from CWB

 
Latest radar image from Central Weather Bureau shows the eye of Matmo moving closer to Taiwan. Bands of light to moderate rains are already affecting Taitung and Hualien Counties. Heavy rains will continue moving from the east and will encompass the entire island by tonight. We expect anywhere from 300 to 500mm of rain to fall in the next 24 hours. Some locations may see up to 800mm which will bring widespread landslides and flooding across the low-lying areas.

For the latest radar images and warnings from Taiwan, please click HERE (CWB Website)

Typhoon Matmo will exit into the Taiwan Strait by tomorrow morning (Wednesday) and will make landfall in Fujian Province in China by tomorrow afternoon. It will rapidly weaken as it moves further inland into China but it will still bring widespread rains in the region.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

Monday, July 21, 2014

Typhoon Matmo (Henry) Update #7 (w/ Video)

Issued (11 UTC) 7pm PhT 072114
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Watch our latest Video Update below for the complete analysis and forecasts for Typhoon Matmo.

 
Typhoon Matmo (Bagyong Henry) continues to track closer towards Taiwan. The storm center was last located approximately 460km east of Aparri, Cagayan or about 850km southeast of Taipei, Taiwan. Maximum sustained winds remain at 130kph with gusts of up to 165kph. Typhoon Matmo is moving north northwestward at 30kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has issued Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Batanes Group of Islands. Signal #1 for Cagayan, Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands.

IR Image from NRLMRY


Latest satellite image continues to show improvements with convection wrapping around the center now. The central dense overcast is also more symmetrical this afternoon. The wind shear continues to weaken and this is allowing Matmo to finally improve its structure. We'll likely see intensification occur tonight and continue into tomorrow morning.

Cagayan Province and the islands north of Luzon will be dealing with some scattered light to moderate rains and gusty winds. The center will move near the Batanes Islands tomorrow morning and we expect stormy conditions to occur there.

Typhoon Matmo is forecast to make landfall in Northern Taiwan by tomorrow afternoon and then move near Taipei by the evening. Strong winds of up to 160kph are possible along with heavy rains of up to 500mm. Flooding and landslides, especially in mountainous regions, are possible.

Matmo is, then, forecast to move into Eastern China bringing the same threat there later this week.

We'll have another update tomorrow.