Monday, November 3, 2014

Super Typhoon Nuri Update #7

Issued (0430 UTC) 1230pm PhT 110414
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Super Typhoon Nuri (Bagyong Paeng) is beginning to weaken this morning as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility. The eye of Nuri was last located approximately 880km southeast of Okinawa, Japan. Maximum sustained winds are at 240kph with gusts of up to 295kph. STY Nuri is currently moving north northeastward at 15kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows the eye of Nuri has begun to shrink and be filled with clouds--signs that the storm is weakening. Cloud tops have also warmed around the eye which is a sign that convective activity is weakening a bit. Nuri is starting to move into an area of strong wind shear and cooler sea surface temperatures. However, dual outflow channels remain very robust which should help slow down the weakening trend for at least the next 24 hours.

Super Typhoon Nuri will continue moving northeastward across the Pacific in the coming days. Unfavorable conditions will lead to continued weakening during this time frame as well. Increasing interaction with the baroclinic zone will promote widespread rains ahead of the system which may eventually impact parts of Southeastern Honshu. Parts of Chubu and Kanto Regions, including the Tokyo Area, may see some scattered rain showers along with gust winds of up to 60kph by Thursday morning. Thankfully, the dangerously stormy conditions should stay well offshore.

We'll have another update later today.

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